Sterling heads for second biggest drop this year as Brexit deal faces hurdles

Economy 17:52 15.11.2018

The British currency plunged on Thursday and is set for its second biggest drop this year as opposition mounted at Prime Minister Theresa May’s draft deal for leaving the European Union with a series of resignations.Brexit Minister Dominic Raab and three other ministers resigned in protest against her plan fuelling a selloff in the pound which was already struggling to gain traction after May said on Wednesday she had won over her divided cabinet after a five-hour meeting.

In chaotic trading, the pound GBP=D3 plunged 1.7 percent to $1.2751, its second biggest drop after a 1.73 percent fall in September.

It trimmed some of its losses to stand 1.5 percent down on the day at $1.2803 after May said she will negotiate intensively with the European Council to turn the draft deal into a full future framework.

“What concerns us is how many ministers seeing this news will be pondering if it is better to get their resignations in now rather than wait,” Jordan Rochester and Andy Chaytor at Nomura said in a client note.

“If several ministers go this becomes more difficult for Theresa May to hold her position.”

Against the euro EURGBP=D3, the pound fell by 1.4 percent to 88.30 pence.

While markets had priced in some opposition to the draft deal negotiated by May, the latest round of resignations has unleashed a fresh wave of volatility in UK assets, sending investors to the relative safety of government debt and buying currency options.

Her position as leader of the Conservative Party and thus her premiership are under threat, which could lead to a leadership challenge.

 

VOLATILE

Those concerns were reflected in the foreign exchange derivatives markets where three and six-month gauges of expected volatility in the British currency remained firm while extreme short-dated volatility indicators also jumped.

That uncertainty was also reflected in the money markets where investors have all but priced out a rate hike by the Bank of England next year.

Bond yields fell across the board with those on benchmark ten-year British government debt falling more than 13 basis points to 1.375 percent, putting it on track for the biggest one-day fall since August 2016.

Big moves this week have boosted volatility in the British currency with realized price swings this week alone averaging about 12 percent annualized on a daily basis, twice that of end-October.

“All eyes are now on Theresa May with a challenge to her leadership increasingly being viewed as the next catalyst for another sterling collapse,” said Jeremy Thomson-Cook, chief economist at WorldFirst.

Former UK Ambassador: ‘Negotiations between Azerbaijan, Armenia without mediators are big step’

News line

Kyrgyz President leaves for Azerbaijan - UPDATED
Kyrgyz President leaves for Azerbaijan - UPDATED
11:34 24.04.2024
CSTO Secretary-General: ‘Armenia should assess security threats’
11:10 24.04.2024
Ammunition found in Azerbaijan’s Khankandi
Ammunition found in Azerbaijan’s Khankandi
10:54 24.04.2024
Umud Mirzayev Condemns Flag Burning Incident in Yerevan, Highlights Role of Armenian Separatists
10:33 24.04.2024
President Ilham Aliyev: Armenia blocks possibility of building land connection with Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic
President Ilham Aliyev: Armenia blocks possibility of building land connection with Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic
10:14 24.04.2024
"Significance of Russian 'Peacekeeper' Withdrawal in South Caucasus - Insights from Political Expert Neil Watson
10:00 24.04.2024
Ilham Aliyev: Education of the young generation is one of our main priorities
09:46 24.04.2024
President: France, India, and Greece weaponizing Armenia against us—we can't just sit and wait
09:30 24.04.2024
Joe Biden to sign Ukraine aid bill on April 24
09:17 24.04.2024
President: Attainable to reach Azerbaijan-Armenia agreement before COP29, even on basic principles
09:02 24.04.2024
President Ilham Aliyev: We never forgot about issue of four villages
08:53 24.04.2024
President of Azerbaijan: 'World to need fossil fuels for many more years'
President of Azerbaijan: 'World to need fossil fuels for many more years'
23:00 23.04.2024
AI giants adopt safety measures to prevent child exploitation
AI giants adopt safety measures to prevent child exploitation
22:00 23.04.2024
Former UK Ambassador: ‘Negotiations between Azerbaijan, Armenia without mediators are big step’
21:00 23.04.2024
Raisi: There could be nothing left of Israel's govt if it attacks again
20:25 23.04.2024
President Aliyev: We aim for COP29's success in addressing climate change issue
20:00 23.04.2024
Lithuania welcomes agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia
Lithuania welcomes agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia
19:19 23.04.2024
Ukraine receives armored personnel carriers from Lithuania
Ukraine receives armored personnel carriers from Lithuania
19:00 23.04.2024
Sergey Stankevich: 'Soon, the new era in the history of the South Caucasus will be talked' - INTERVIEW
18:45 23.04.2024
Armenian Parliament rejected draft of opposition regarding border delimitation with Azerbaijan
18:18 23.04.2024
Pundit: Iran sees Azerbaijan as a potential threat to itself
18:00 23.04.2024
Czechia to hold extraordinary meeting of NATO foreign ministers in May
17:48 23.04.2024
Australian PM calls Elon Musk an 'arrogant billionaire' in row over attack footage
Australian PM calls Elon Musk an 'arrogant billionaire' in row over attack footage
17:29 23.04.2024
Umud Mirzayev: 'Revanchist politics led Armenia to disaster'
17:15 23.04.2024
Ilham Aliyev: Azerbaijan closely partners with all Eurasian Union members, except Armenia.
17:00 23.04.2024
Peacekeepers leaving Karabakh, peace in the South Caucasus, World War III? - Expert talk on Ednews
16:45 23.04.2024
Chinese Entities Procure Nvidia Chips Despite US Export Restrictions
Chinese Entities Procure Nvidia Chips Despite US Export Restrictions
16:33 23.04.2024
First border marker installed along Azerbaijan-Armenia border
16:25 23.04.2024
Poland: We’re ready to host nuclear weapons
16:12 23.04.2024
President: Azerbaijan's economy is self-sufficient and shows sustainable growth even during crises
15:58 23.04.2024
Iran's attack on Israel, withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers, peace talks... - Insights from Andrew Korybko
15:35 23.04.2024
Azerbaijani, Czech FMs make speech at joint press conference
14:46 23.04.2024
Ilham Aliyev participating in international forum themed ‘COP29 and Green Vision for Azerbaijan’ at ADA University - VİDEO
14:22 23.04.2024
Erdogan warns Armenia: Opportunities doors are never left open forever
14:12 23.04.2024
Azerbaijan weather forecast for April 24
Azerbaijan weather forecast for April 24
14:00 23.04.2024
Elnur Mammadov: Armenians set up mine traps to prevent return of ethnic Azerbaijanis
13:48 23.04.2024
The Deputy MFA Elnur Mammadov exposed the fascist ideology of Armenians in The Hague Court
13:32 23.04.2024
Azerbaijani Envoy: Azerbaijan’s appeal to Int’l Court relates to essence of CERD, unlike Armenia’s claim
13:11 23.04.2024
Germany is preparing for war with Russia
12:59 23.04.2024
FM Jeyhun Bayramov meets with his Czech counterpart
12:26 23.04.2024
Hamısı