Paul Goble warning on Karabakh - 'Russia may try to provoke a conflict over Karabakh...' - EXCLUSIVE | Eurasia Diary - ednews.net

20 April, Saturday


Paul Goble warning on Karabakh - 'Russia may try to provoke a conflict over Karabakh...' - EXCLUSIVE

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"The influence of Russia and the West over the Nagorno-Karabakh negotiations has returned to its former state due to regime change in Armenia." American political analyst Paul Goble said in an exclusive interview with Eurasia Diary.

The expert believes that the Trump administration's focuses less to this issue which has created a new situation: "My guess is that it will be some months before we see real moves on either side, and by that time, both Washington and Moscow may return to the game."

So, what kind of changes can new regime in Yerevan bring to the conflict resolution strategy? Can the Pashinyan's Government make the settlement within Azerbaijan's territorial integrity?

Goble does not think Pashinyan is currently formulating a negotiating strategy: "He is currently trying to solidify his government. Taking any public position on Nagorno Karabakh now would make that more difficult.."

The analyst talked about the effects of Russian withdrawal from INF on the region and said that it could lead to a growth of militarism in the region. However, according to Paul Goble, Moscow does not have enough finance to fund rocket launchers in the south: "Its main enemies are elsewhere. Obviously, growing militarism is a danger, and Moscow may try to provoke a conflict over Nagorno Karabakh to justify what it wants to do or thinks it must do to hold Armenia.

Interviewed by Ulvi Ahmedli

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