"Mosul is the main ISIS cadre" Joel Wing

Interviews 10:31 18.10.2016

Joel Wing is a senior Iraqi journalist and analyst,  exclusively talked to Eurasia Diary regarding his in depth analysis.

Eurasia Diary: How do you see the recent ISIS attack in Mosul? 

Joel Wing: Both Iraq's PM Abadi and US President Obama said they wanted Mosul to be free before the end of the year so there was pressure to start the Mosul operation sooner rather than later.

Eurasia Diary:  According to the UN Mosul war will create the world biggest humanitarian crisis? Do you agree on this? 

Joel Wing: Mosul will definitely cause the great humanitarian crisis in Iraq so far. That's because of the size of the population of the Mosul area, which if you include the surrounding towns could be around 1 million people. The Iraqi government has dropped flyers trying to encourage people to stay in their homes but you can't predict whether they will do that or flee when the fighting starts. Either way there will be a huge task of trying to assist all the people who will be effected during the battle for the city.

Eurasia Diary: Do you think that the Iraqi army will tackle this attack of ISIS? As still they are badly failed to control this thrash? 

Joel Wing: The Islamic State is on the retreat and trying to regroup after all of its recent losses in Iraq. Mosul could very well go down like Fallujah did previously where there are strong outer defenses, but once those are penetrated taking the actual city could be relatively easy compared to other battles like Tikrit or Ramadi. That's because most of the people are still living inside Mosul and there are Islamic State cadre, families, etc. That means the militants cannot lay down IEDs and other defenses inside the city with all those people there making it harder for them to defend and hold areas.

Eurasia Diary: Some experts are saying that the Mosul will be bigger war front even more than Aleppo? What are your thoughts? 

Joel Wing: The challenge of Mosul is the sheer size of the place. The area is almost as large as Baghdad. Surrounding the city and then taking it piece by piece will be a huge task and will take a long time, but again, I think IS defenses could collapse rather quickly.

Eurasia Diary: The victory bell has rung" in the mission to retake the key city, Iraq's second largest, and free more than 1 million residents from the "brutality and terrorism of ISIS," al-Abadi said in a televised statement early Monday morning how much reality in this statement? 

Joel Wing: The Iraqi forces have been building up for this operation for weeks now. They've placed the necessary forces south of the city. They have worked with the Americans to get the cooperation of the Kurds and their Peshmerga while trying to limit the role of other groups. I have no doubt that the city will be taken.

Eurasia Diary: Mosul is the last strong hold of ISIS in Iraq, do you think that the Iraqi and the coalition forces are going to destroy the ISIS backbone in Iraq? 

Joel Wing: ISIS actually still controls areas of Kirkuk province like Hawija and Riyad and western Anbar along the Syrian border. Those areas will be tackled after Mosul. The insurgents are definitely on the retreat in Iraq. The last pieces of land they hold will eventually be taken. That doesn't mean the group is defeated however as it is already trying to rebuild and regroup in rural areas of the country to carry out an insurgency, and its terrorist campaign in Baghdad has not stopped at all. The question is how much pressure will the Iraqi forces be able to put on the group after the last bit of territory is lost.

Eurasia Diary: How much the coalition forces with the Iraqi army are serious in the Mosul war? Will they attain their set targets and goals?

Joel Wing: The Iraqi forces have urban assaults pretty well worked out by now. The lead will be taken by the elite Golden Division. The Iraqi army and Federal Police will be backing them up and doing hold and clear operations. The Hashd and Peshmerga have said that they will work to capture the surrounding towns and promised to stay out of Mosul itself, but that's yet to be seen. The only real question is how long it will take the area, because again, the size of Mosul presents some real dilemma.

Azerbaijan Air Force and Navy Forces held joint tactical exercise in Caspian Sea - VİDEO

News line

Iran and Israel playing with fire as old rules of confrontation are torn up - ANALYSIS
20:50 19.04.2024
'Ukraine is blackmailing the West for this' - Expert reveals the secret details
19:50 19.04.2024
French police arrest attempted suicide bomber
French police arrest attempted suicide bomber
19:30 19.04.2024
'We are witnessing historical events' - Umud Mirzayev on the occasion of the return of Gazakh villages
19:09 19.04.2024
Expert: Israeli Response to Iran Expected to Be Limited, Considers Targeting Neighbor
18:45 19.04.2024
Border delimitation between Azerbaijan and Armenia to be based on Almaty Declaration
18:25 19.04.2024
Defamation against Azerbaijan in the International Court of Justice
18:12 19.04.2024
CIA: Ukraine will lose war without new aid this year
17:58 19.04.2024
Another baseless allegation from a law professor speaking on behalf of Armenia
17:40 19.04.2024
Azerbaijan and Armenia agree on returning of Gazakh's 4 villages
17:21 19.04.2024
President of Azerbaijan and Chancellor of Germany to meet in Berlin
17:00 19.04.2024
Russia won’t allow NATO to move closer in Ukraine — Lavrov
Russia won’t allow NATO to move closer in Ukraine — Lavrov
16:48 19.04.2024
Baku French Lyceum ceases its activity
16:35 19.04.2024
Ilham Aliyev and Vladimir Putin to meet in Moscow
16:27 19.04.2024
G7 Foreign Ministers call Azerbaijan and Armenia to be committed to peace process
16:16 19.04.2024
Mikayil Jabbarov: ‘Ughuryolu career program leads to identifying personnel with higher potential’
Mikayil Jabbarov: ‘Ughuryolu career program leads to identifying personnel with higher potential’
16:01 19.04.2024
US calls on Israel to provide humanitarian aid to Gaza
15:40 19.04.2024
Jeyhun Bayramov discusses situation in Gaza with Prime Minister of Palestine
15:30 19.04.2024
Public hearings on preliminary objections raised by Azerbaijan in International Court of Justice conclude
15:00 19.04.2024
Azerbaijan to create artificial land plots in Caspian Sea for construction
14:02 19.04.2024
Azerbaijan weather forecast for April 20
Azerbaijan weather forecast for April 20
13:21 19.04.2024
Fathers will have right to receive a pension under favorable conditions for their children in Azerbaijan
13:00 19.04.2024
Azerbaijan Air Force and Navy Forces held joint tactical exercise in Caspian Sea - VİDEO
Azerbaijan Air Force and Navy Forces held joint tactical exercise in Caspian Sea - VİDEO
12:40 19.04.2024
No plan for immediate retaliation against Israel, senior Iranian official says - VİDEO/UPDATED
12:25 19.04.2024
Oil prices surge following Israeli airstrike on Iran
12:12 19.04.2024
Final Day of Hearings in 'Armenia vs. Azerbaijan' Case at the Hague Court - LIVE
12:02 19.04.2024
Australia tells citizens to leave Israel
Australia tells citizens to leave Israel
11:50 19.04.2024
'Regrettably, the United States exhibits a biased position regarding peacekeepers' - MP Konul Nurullayeva
11:34 19.04.2024
The US does not want the Zangezur corridor to be opened under these conditions - OPINION
11:20 19.04.2024
Armenian general: Russia is the cause of all troubles
11:02 19.04.2024
Man arrested in Poland over suspected Russian plot to assassinate Zelensky
10:50 19.04.2024
Price of Azerbaijan oil drops
Price of Azerbaijan oil drops
10:35 19.04.2024
Azerbaijani police found numerous weapons and ammunition in Khankandi
10:23 19.04.2024
Chad threatens to kick out US troops
10:00 19.04.2024
Terrorists kill 16 soldiers in Syria
Terrorists kill 16 soldiers in Syria
09:49 19.04.2024
Biden calls China ‘xenophobic’
09:30 19.04.2024
Maduro: Despite US sanctions, Venesuela’s oil industry will develop
09:17 19.04.2024
Kenyan military helicopter crashes, five soldiers killed, police say
Kenyan military helicopter crashes, five soldiers killed, police say
23:45 18.04.2024
Greek PM Mitsotakis to meet Erdogan on May 13 in Ankara
22:55 18.04.2024
Guterres: ‘The Middle East is on a knife-edge’
Guterres: ‘The Middle East is on a knife-edge’
22:33 18.04.2024
Hamısı