Russians are confident in their cyber-defences, most other countries are less sure

In the face of a cyberwar arms race, being pessimistic may be the wisest approach.

World 17:54 15.01.2019

Most people think their country's vital infrastructure, elections and government secrets are going to be targeted by hackers; what varies is how ready they believe their nation is to deal with such an attack.

While the majority of the people surveyed said they thought it likely their nation's secrets would be stolen, that their public infrastructure would be damaged and their elections tampered with at some point by a cyberattack, across the 26 countries surveyed by the Pew Research Center, the public is evenly split between those who think their country is well-prepared to handle a major cyberattack, and those who do not.

But attitudes vary widely by country; of the 26 countries surveyed, the US was among the most likely to say cyberattacks will happen. More than eight out of ten in the US said public infrastructure will be damaged (83 percent), national security information will be accessed (82 percent), or elections will be tampered with (78 percent) via cyberattack.

Despite this, US respondents were more confident that the country was prepared to deal with such an attack than Europeans, who were generally pessimistic about whether their countries can deal with a large-scale cyber hack: only in France did more than half say it is well-prepared to deal with a cyber incident.

That people in the US are among the most worried about attacks on national security information, critical infrastructure or their election systems isn't actually that surprising. After all, the US has recent experience of attempts to compromise all these types of systems by hackers working for foreign powers.

What's perhaps more surprising is that people surveyed in Russia were much more optimistic, where 67 percent of respondents thought the country was well-prepared and only 19 percent thought it not well-prepared (another outlier was Israel, where 73 percent said the country was well-prepared and only 20 percent disagreed).

It might seem strange that Russia -- blamed by US intelligence for meddling in the US presidential election and more -- should seem so unconcerned about cyberattacks itself.

The threat, after all, is not entirely theoretical. Last year The Washington Post reported that, after the Russian hacking during the 2016 presidential elections, President Barack Obama authorised a covert operation to deploy "implants" in important Russian networks that could be triggered remotely in retaliation to any future cyber aggression by Moscow.

Pew noted that in many cases, views about a country's preparedness are shaped in part by partisanship and attitudes toward the party in power. In the US, over half (61 percent) of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents believe the US is well-prepared to deal with a major cyber incident. Fewer than half of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents agree. In Russia, three-quarters of Russians who support President Vladimir Putin's United Russia party are optimistic that their country could handle an attack, compared with 61 percent among those who do not support the party.

In truth, asking the general public about the level of viable cyber-defensive capability deployed by governments and the various businesses that make up the national critical infrastructure was unlikely to give you an entirely accurate answer.

The most advanced economies are now almost entirely dependent on computer systems, not just to function effectively but simply to function at all.

Even reasonably trivial and accidental outages can cause chaos and unexpected problems. Rarely do we have back-up plans in place; we simply assume the systems will work.

Most governments are now very worried about what would happen in the event of a serious cyberattack. It's pretty much impossible to absolutely secure systems against attack; even when spending vast amounts to plug all the gaps, new holes have a habit of springing open.

And, of course, few governments and fewer businesses (which own most of that critical national infrastructure) have lots of spare money to spend on securing systems against an attack by super-spies that may never come. The people who think that their country would struggle to contain a cyberattack are almost certainly right; it's unlikely that any country could deal with a sustained attack without significant damage to its economy.

In that case, worrying more about cyberattacks might be a good idea. If the general public is at least concerned about the idea of a cyberattack, that may give their leadership a reason to pause before launching an attack on a foreign rival.

If the people in a country are aware of the fragility of their own infrastructure, they might take a less positive view of their own leaders authorising cyberattacks that can cause huge and unexpected consequences. Attacks like the NotPetya malware, which -- according to Western intelligence agencies -- was unleashed by Russia against Ukraine and then spread uncontrollably causing billions in damage.

In the face of an ongoing cyber-arms race, adopting that pessimistic view -- that nobody will win a cyberwar -- may be the wisest course of action for all nations

PREVIOUS AND RELATED COVERAGE

Europe, Canada, USA, Australia, and others are now running training exercises to prepare for the outbreak of cyberwar. Locked Shields is the largest simulation and TechRepublic takes you inside.

Cybercriminals are focusing on public infrastructure to disrupt services and cause mayhem as new targets are emerging and expanding throughout the world.

Over the past few years, offensive cyber weapons have risen in prominence as a part of international military efforts. The full impact of these weapons remains to be seen, however.

Only 45% of organizations offer mandatory cybersecurity training, according to a Mimecast report. Here's how to boost your employees' security education.

Over the past few years, offensive cyber weapons have risen in prominence as a part of international military efforts. The full impact of these weapons remains to be seen, however.

Ransomware attacks on businesses grew exponentially in the past year. Here's what you need to know and how you can prepare.

A UK program offers young cybercriminals an alternative to detention and hopes to turn them into legit tech professionals.

IEPF issued a statement regarding Azerbaijani children at the UN Human Rights Council

News line

Drone attack in Russia's Udmurtia leaves three dead, dozens injured
20:15 01.07.2025
Billionaire Musk vows to launch new political party if controversial Trump bill passes Congress
20:00 01.07.2025
Broken Friendship: Azerbaijan–Russia Relations INTERVIEW
19:40 01.07.2025
Baku to host D-8 Youth Forum in July
19:30 01.07.2025
Speaker: Armenia should seriously begin discussing issue of stopping broadcasting Russian TV channels
19:20 01.07.2025
Russian Foreign Ministry: Azerbaijani envoy handed verbal note
19:15 01.07.2025
Azerbaijan signs $173.5M loan agreement with WB for renewable energy project
19:00 01.07.2025
Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan ink several documents to diversify economic partnership
18:45 01.07.2025
Another group of Ukrainian children arrive in Azerbaijan for rehabilitation
18:15 01.07.2025
IEPF Launches a Series of Trainings for NGOs
18:14 01.07.2025
Sahil Babayev: Azerbaijan aims to become green energy exporter
18:00 01.07.2025
Azerbaijani minister: Youth action plan to be drafted at international event in Aghdam
17:45 01.07.2025
Azerbaijan launches criminal case into killing of Azerbaijani brothers in Russia
17:30 01.07.2025
European diplomats visit West Bank town after deadly attack by Israeli settlers
17:15 01.07.2025
Poland’s president calls on gov’t to stop entry of migrants from Germany
17:00 01.07.2025
Artists, writers urge UK government not to ban pro-Palestine group
16:45 01.07.2025
China's Communist Party tops 100 million members in ‘significant milestone’
16:30 01.07.2025
China says ‘complicated’ boundary dispute with India will take time to resolve
16:15 01.07.2025
Severe weather batters Italy, leaving two dead and multiple regions on alert
16:00 01.07.2025
Azerbaijan detains Russian citizens in Baku suspected of drug trafficking, online fraud
15:50 01.07.2025
China sanctions former Philippines senator over 'egregious conduct' on Beijing-related issues
15:30 01.07.2025
Meta fined over $512,000 by Taiwan for lack of transparency over advertisers
15:15 01.07.2025
Trump says Musk would ‘head back to South Africa’ without US subsidies for EVs
15:00 01.07.2025
Azerbaijani brothers murdered in Russia hit with blunt instrument, examinations reveal
14:45 01.07.2025
Kazakhstan commends top-tier organization of ECO Youth Forum in Azerbaijan's Aghdam
14:30 01.07.2025
U.S. Charge d'Affaires hails Azerbaijan’s support in ensuring safe evacuation country's citizens from Iran
14:15 01.07.2025
Slovakia appoints Azerbaijani native as ambassador to Baku
14:00 01.07.2025
Fitch reveals forecast for Azerbaijan's state budget deficit in 2025
13:45 01.07.2025
WSJ: Amazon is on the cusp of using more robots than Humans in its warehouses
13:30 01.07.2025
Politico: EC ready to allow countries to restrict access to social networks by age
13:15 01.07.2025
Azerbaijani brothers murdered in Russia hit with blunt instrument, examinations reveal
13:00 01.07.2025
Azerbaijani official elected vice-president of international conference
12:45 01.07.2025
US approves $510M sale of munitions guidance kits to Israel
12:30 01.07.2025
Death toll in India factory blast rises to 34
12:25 01.07.2025
Azerbaijani ambassador leaves Russian Foreign Ministry building
12:15 01.07.2025
Iranian president to attend ECO summit in Azerbaijan's Khankandi
12:10 01.07.2025
Russia summons Azerbaijani ambassador
12:00 01.07.2025
Iran-linked hackers threaten to release Trump aides' emails
11:45 01.07.2025
Israeli strikes on Gaza Strip leave 95 Palestinians killed
11:30 01.07.2025
Israel shoots down over 1,000 Iranian drones — permanent representative to UN
11:15 01.07.2025
Hamısı