Iran's economic crisis may bring the regime to collapse

Expert says that the coalition of the trio of Iran, Russia and Armenia in the South Caucasus is very dangerous for Azerbaijan

Analytics 10:53 05.02.2021

The economic and social problems in Iran are growing in recent days. Protests against the incumbent authority are intensifying, and almost every day there are clashes between the masses and government forces in various provinces of Iran.

Especially after the November 2019 uprising, in which more than 1,500 protesters were killed during rallies, such clashes have become commonplace. Last week, hundreds of retirees rallied in several provinces to protest the regime, according to Iranian non-opposition websites. A report said the main reason was low pensions and salaries and constantly soaring prices in local markets. Inflation in the country is at its peak, and even a retiree cannot buy more than three kilograms of fruit for a family. This information was published on the Iranian news website ‘Qatreh’ last week following the protests. Interestingly, another state-run daily news website, ‘Vatane Emruz’ commented, "The tables are empty, and the economic gaps in the country boost the anger of people towards the government." This shows that the Iranian government is already experiencing serious internal problems as a result of growing public discontent.

According to Iranian media, the government is trying to cover up such actions under various pretexts. The regime uses the people's dissatisfaction as an excuse to oppose the sanctions imposed by the West against Iran. As for the protests, the Iranian government arrests the protesters and, if necessary, imposes the death penalty.

In his exclusive interview to Eurasia Diary, political expert Sadraddin Soltan, head of the Centre for Middle East Studies, gave detailed comments on the subject. He also commented on Iran's political and economic relations in the Caucasus, as well as with Azerbaijan.

According to the political expert, the protests against the regime in Iran began years ago after the wars between Iraq and Iran. Thus, the eight-year war exhausted both sides, and Iran, which was shaken from inside, had to establish the theocratic mullah regime.

"When Rafsanjani came to power at that time, the Iranian people said that the turbaned Gorbachev had come to the country. Everyone hoped that the new reforms would increase prosperity. But neither Rafsanjani, nor Mohammad Khatami, nor Ahmad Najat did. Currently Hasan Rohani is in power, and although there have been some attempts at reform during his tenure, he has been unsuccessful too, because the system of the Iranian gevernment is bsed on the theocratic regime. However, the head of state is Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei. Thus, although the state has a supreme legislative, executive and judicial bodies, it is not independent and has an additional institution of supreme leadership on top of them. Therefore, neither the president, the parliament, nor the Islamic Council have no chance to make any successful reforms in the country," he said.

The expert also explained the economic downturn in Iran and the main reasons that accelerated the protests. He noted that Iran's warsened relations with the United States have faced the country with serious economic problems over the past decade.

"US sanctions have completely deprived Iran of economic and trade ties. Although Iran was once the world's most famous textile exporter, today even the neighbouring countries have cut ties with it as a result of the country's trade embargo. Even aircraft and factory equipment are out of order, and it has been impossible for Iran to acquire the parts it needs.

By the time that Donald Trump came to power, Iran had signed an agreement with France on the supply of spare parts for Being aircraft. However, during the Trump administration, those documents were not implemented. Even the purchase of Iranian oil was banned. The main reason for this was Iran's suspicious nuclear program. All these processes have led Iran to economic decline, and as a result, in 2019, it fueled the public protests."

Sadraddin Soltan also touched upon the relations between Iran and Azerbaijan. He also spoke about Iran's role and political ties in the Caucasus region.

"Iran has openly expressed its attitude to Azerbaijan, especially during the II Karabakh war. In fact, this was not an unexpected step for Azerbaijan, because since a long time Iran has intended to extend a hand in Karabakh. We saw that in Iran's mischievous policy of restoring mosques and historical monuments in Karabakh and Yerevan.

The only problem is that Iran could be involved in issues with both Armenia and Karabakh in the South Caucasus by means of Russia. I think that the coalition of the trio of Iran, Russia and Armenia in the South Caucasus is very dangerous for Azerbaijan and it should not be allowed," he added.

 

By Elnur Enveroglu 

Journalist, EDNews Correspondent

Journalists from Uzbekistan embarked on a visit to International Eurasia Press Fund -PHOTOS/VIDEO

News line

Kyrgyz President Zhaparov concludes his state visit to Azerbaijan
16:47 25.04.2024
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev invites European Council President Charles Michel to COP29
16:34 25.04.2024
Macron: Europe must show that it is not a US vassal
16:12 25.04.2024
Credit investment in Azerbaijan’s economy increases by 23%
16:00 25.04.2024
Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan to cooperate in space field
Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan to cooperate in space field
15:49 25.04.2024
Protesters in Yerevan demand resignation of government
Protesters in Yerevan demand resignation of government
15:28 25.04.2024
Presidents Ilham Aliyev and Sadyr Zhaparov tour Shahbulag Castle in Aghdam
15:00 25.04.2024
Second meeting of Foreign Affairs Committee Chairs of Parliaments of Turkic States to be held in Türkiye
Second meeting of Foreign Affairs Committee Chairs of Parliaments of Turkic States to be held in Türkiye
14:30 25.04.2024
First Azerbaijani Ombudsman dies
14:00 25.04.2024
Azerbaijan weather forecast for April 26
Azerbaijan weather forecast for April 26
13:40 25.04.2024
Presidents of Azerbaijan and Kyrgyzstan inspect ongoing works at Palace of Panahali Khans and Imarat complex in Aghdam
13:19 25.04.2024
President Ilham Aliyev and President Sadyr Zhaparov attend opening of Aghdam Juma Mosque after restoration
13:00 25.04.2024
Prime Minister of Nakhchivan dismissed from his post, new PM appointed
12:12 25.04.2024
Hungary plans to purchase more gas from Azerbaijan - FM
11:57 25.04.2024
Kyrgyzstan Joins Efforts in Karabakh Reconstruction, Echoing Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan - OPINION
11:40 25.04.2024
Woman Fell in Love with fake Elon Musk: lost 50 thousand dollars
Woman Fell in Love with fake Elon Musk: lost 50 thousand dollars
11:28 25.04.2024
US secretly shipped long-range missiles to Ukraine
11:16 25.04.2024
10th session of Azerbaijan-Hungary intergovernmental commission kicks off in Baku
11:03 25.04.2024
Azerbaijani citizens granted access to visit newly liberated Lachin in their own vehicles
10:51 25.04.2024
Azerbaijan, US discuss implementation of risk-based supervision model in banks
Azerbaijan, US discuss implementation of risk-based supervision model in banks
10:35 25.04.2024
Ammunition found in Khankandi
10:12 25.04.2024
Politico: ‘Ukraine may not receive additional financial aid from US until election’
10:02 25.04.2024
'US welcomes start of border delimitation process between Azerbaijan, Armenia - State Dept
09:47 25.04.2024
Price of Azerbaijan oil increases
Price of Azerbaijan oil increases
09:31 25.04.2024
National Hero Albert Agarunov remembered on his birthday
09:15 25.04.2024
Hungarian FM embarks on a visit to Azerbaijan
08:50 25.04.2024
Antonov: Russian forces will 'burn' all US supplies to Ukraine
23:42 24.04.2024
Kazakhstan, UK sign strategic partnership and cooperation agreement
22:40 24.04.2024
Iraqi President was invited to COP29
Iraqi President was invited to COP29
22:12 24.04.2024
State reception was hosted in honor of President of Kyrgyzstan Sadyr Zhaparov
21:00 24.04.2024
Journalists from Uzbekistan embarked on a visit to International Eurasia Press Fund -PHOTOS/VIDEO
20:10 24.04.2024
Biden signs Israel, Ukraine, TikTok bill into law
20:00 24.04.2024
Doha hosts first face-to-face Russia-Ukraine talks on return of children
19:30 24.04.2024
International experts from 30 countries view restoration work in Lachin
19:15 24.04.2024
Ombudsman informs UK ambassador about landmine terrorism by Armenia against Azerbaijan
19:00 24.04.2024
Israel's Defense Minister: ‘Half of Hezbollah's commanders have been killed’
Israel's Defense Minister: ‘Half of Hezbollah's commanders have been killed’
18:45 24.04.2024
Azerbaijan's insurance market rises
18:30 24.04.2024
Belarus deploys tactical nuclear weapons on its territory
Belarus deploys tactical nuclear weapons on its territory
18:15 24.04.2024
US President Biden once again used "Armenian genocide" term
18:00 24.04.2024
Estonia welcomes remarkable developments in Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation process
17:45 24.04.2024
Hamısı