Expert says - If Kocharyan wins the elections, he will... | Eurasia Diary -

24 June, Thursday

Expert says - If Kocharyan wins the elections, he will...

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Robert Kocharyan, who was a former President of Armenia, has started receiving support among the Armenians ahead of the early parliament elections, which will be held on June 20.

According to Armenian news sources, Russian expert Stanislav Pritchin believed that if Robert Kocharyan wins the snap parliamentary elections, the situation in the Karabakh settlement issue will change.

"If a few months ago Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan was definitely winning, now it is becoming clear that former President Robert Kocharyan also has support. It is clear that everything will be clear as a result of the voting, but Kocharyan has a chance to win the elections. And then the situation will be completely different—also in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict. But in any case, the Russian mediation and the Russian peacekeeping contingent at the Karabakh conflict zone will play a positive role, as there is an interest in maintaining the situation," Pritchin said.

However, another Russian expert Konstantin Tastis considered that if Kocharyan comes to power, he will not apply for revenge, but he will try to find fair peace conditions for Armenia in the negotiations with Azerbaijan.

Speaking to Eurasia Diary, Konstantin Tastis, expert at the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies, made brief comments about the situation with Kocharyan’s chances to win elections and its impacts on the Karabakh settlement process.

Bir 1 nəfər şəkili ola bilər

He initially noted that Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s My Step bloc is still stronger than other opposition parties among the population in Armenia.

“Most experts consider the ruling political bloc "My Step" under the leadership of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan to be the favourite for the upcoming parliamentary elections. According to opinion polls, his rating is over 30%. So far, the support of Robert Kocharian and other opposition forces is lower,”. 

But, he also said that the situation in the country might change in the favour of opposition.

“However, the situation may change. The voting results will depend on the conditions of the elections (electoral code, etc.), the election campaign and the general socio-economic situation in Armenia,” he said.

Furthermore, Tastis stressed that the government and opposition forces in Armenia understand that they need to implement the 10 November and 11 January statements signed by Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia to arrange a peace process in Nagorno-Karabakh.  

For him, Robert Kocharyan will avoid revenge and support the peaceful negotiations with Azerbaijan to solve the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh.

“Nevertheless, the authorities and the opposition in Armenia publicly declare the need to fulfil the signed trilateral statements on the results of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh. For example, in his interview, Robert Kocharian stated that the situation in Armenian armed forces does not allow thinking about revenge. He stressed that if he comes to power, he will seek fair peace conditions for Armenia in the negotiation process with Azerbaijan,” he added. 

By Yunis abdullayev

Eurasia Diary

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