Tensions rise in Idlib - The wave may reach to Karabakh - ednews.net

27 October, Wednesday

Tensions rise in Idlib - The wave may reach to Karabakh

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Tensions in Idlib in Syria have risen again after a relative calm. Russia, a major power in the region, has also increased its military activity. Yesterday, Russian military planes bombed the area, conducting about 15 air raids over Idlib. As a result, there are many injured among the population, including children.

It should be noted that Idlib is located 25 km from the Turkish border, and this area is very close to the Turkish region of Antakya. Interestingly, one of the missiles fired during the Russian airstrikes fell about a hundred meters from a building belonging Turkey near the Turkish border. In addition, during the operations in Idlib, the Turkish side has had three Martyrs last Saturday.

Thus, Russia's intensification of air strikes in Idlib has exacerbated tensions in the region. Another reason why Idlib needs to be the focus of attention is Russian President Vladimir Putin's attempts to oust Turkey from Syria after meeting with his Syrian counterpart Bashar al-Assad in the Kremlin. In fact, Assad's visit to Moscow was not as predictable as the previous one. Assad's appearance in Moscow became known only in a statement issued by the Kremlin and Damascus on Tuesday.

As for the statement, Putin's words in a press conference are even more remarkable. The statement on "foreign armed forces" also hinted at Turkey's presence in Syria without mentioning its name. During the meeting, Russian President Vladimir Putin called the alleged interference of any forces on the Syrian border without the consent of both the UN and his counterpart Assad contrary to international law.

In fact, Russia, which sent troops to Karabakh without recognizing international law, is now trying to make a fuss on behalf of the Syrian government by speaking on behalf of international law.

Russia, which is currently unable to digest Turkey's potential existence in Karabakh, has now expanded its activities against Turkey in Syria. Tensions are still high in Idlib, where views confront in a common ground between Russia and Turkey. But can this geographical location change one day? Can this tension ever arise in Karabakh?

Political commentator Matin Mammadli gave an interview to EdNews.

May be an image of Metin Memmedli

- How will the tension in Idlib affect the relations between Russia and Turkey?

- In this regard, I can say that in the past, the zones of de-escalation in Syria were identified between Turkey and Russia. Later, Iran joined this process and Idlib is one of those hot locations. However, to date, the Assad regime has conducted various military operations in those areas in violation of the agreement, and yesterday the Russian air force conducted a military offensive. Both Russia and the Assad regime claim that the military operations are aimed at anti-terrorist operations in the region. However, the goal is to gradually bring Idlib under the full control of the Assad regime.

Despite all this, I do not think this tension will continue to the breaking point of Russian-Turkish relations. At the same time, the events of yesterday's air strike by Russia will, of course, have a negative impact on relations between Turkey and Russia.

- While Russian fighter jets were bombing Idlib, one of the missiles fell 100 meters from a building belonging to Turkey near the Turkish border. How will Turkey respond to the Russian air strike that threatens the Turkish border?

- Indeed, one of the strikes by the Russian military yesterday fell near one of the Turkish civilian facilities in the region. In general, both Russia and the Assad regime have carried out military operations in the region so far, killing a large number of civilians and causing extensive damage to civilian facilities. However, in recent years, Turkey has responded to each of these attacks as adequately as possible. I assume this time, too, Turkey is expected to respond in some way to yesterday's military air strike by Russia.

- During a meeting with Assad in Moscow, Putin said that any armed intervention in Syria without the permission of the UN and the country's leadership is the breach of international law. Can this warning message from Putin, who did not give a specific name, be considered a hint to Turkey?

- The statement made by Russian President Vladimir Putin during his meeting with Syrian President Assad in Moscow was in fact a hint to Turkey. Because in the past, Russia did not accept Turkey's interference in the process during the civil war in Syria, and always said that it contradicted the norms of international law. Similarly, Russia remains steadfast today, and Russia does not tolerate the presence of the Turkish army in Syria. Therefore, I can confidently say that these statements can be considered a hint to Turkey.

- At present, the place where Russia and Turkey have conflicting views is Idlib. Can this tension have a chain reaction in Karabakh soon?

- Indeed, in different parts of the Eurasian space, such as Syria, Libya, the Mediterranean and the Black Sea and elsewhere there are conflicts of interest between Turkey and Russia. From this point of view, the situation in Idlib has become tense again, and it is certainly possible that this tension will be repeated in Karabakh as a chain process. However, I do not believe that even if there is tension, it will lead to a major war in Karabakh. First of all, I can say that the start of a major war in Syria and Karabakh is not in the interests of either side. It should also be noted that despite the serious conflicts of interest between the two countries in recent years, both countries have identified certain formats of cooperation, taking into account the current global and regional geopolitical situation. For this reason, both Russia and Turkey are trying to resolve certain conflicts by consensus. Given these reasons, I do not think there will be a major war in the current process. However, a large-scale war may soon or late happen.

Elnur Enveroglu

 

EdNews.net

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