Russia and Turkey will not bring peace and stability to Libya Analyst

Politics 17:30 30.01.2020

Eurasia Diary reports citing Ahval news, Russian-Turkish Libyan agreement will not guarantee stability in the region.

Although Moscow and Ankara has agreed on accord in order to create stability and peace in Libya, two regional countries- Egypt and the United Arab Emirates continue to back Khalid Haftar by giving military assistance to his armed forces. Khalid Haftar does not obey ceasefire and break truce.

Vulnerable political behaviour demonstrated by the European Union and the United States has led to the strengthening of the tension, as well as could create opportunity for the military involvement of Turkey and Russia in Libya.

Ankara supports Libya’s UN recognized Tripoli government and has been supplying it with heavy weaponry and drones since last year to inhibit Haftar forces’ offensive attack.

Turkey and Tripoli government in November signed two important agreements – one is about the determination of the maritime borders, and another is related to Turkey’s military assistance to international recognized government.

While Ankara has been deploying his backed Syrian forces to Libya,  Abu-Dabi has been doubling its support to Haftar forces. The intervention of foreign countries serves in favour of frustrating truce in Libya.

Emadeddin Badi, non-resident scholar at the Middle East Institute said: “Libya’s future is thus effectively at the whims of Turkey, Russia and the UAE.”

Badi considered that Putin and Erdogan support ceasefire, because both of them would like to promote their own political and military investments in Libya.

“But Abu Dhabi sees Haftar and his self-proclaimed narrative of a ‘war on Islamists’ as indispensable, so any accord reached between Russia and Turkey alone is unlikely to end the fighting,” Badi added.

It was also noted in scholar’s remark if three countries- Russia, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates come together to understanding in Libya, it will not again bring stability to region. Main reason is connected to that “permanent Russian presence in Libya” would heighten tensions with Europe and the United States.

“Such an arrangement would do little to tackle structural issues plaguing the Libyan economy,” the analyst said.

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