Navigating the Obstacles to a Peace Agreement: Insights from Political Scientist Elshan Manafov

Politics 21:05 22.05.2024

In anticipation of the upcoming COP29 event, questions linger regarding the feasibility of a peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia and the potential opening of the Zangezur corridor. Addressing these concerns, political scientist Elshan Manafov shared insights with Ednews regarding the key obstacles hindering a final agreement between the two nations.

Manafov expressed optimism regarding the potential clarification of the basic principles of a framework agreement between the conflicting parties by November of this year. These principles, he noted, would serve as the bedrock for a prospective peace accord.

However, Manafov underscored that the signing of such an agreement hinges upon regional events and geopolitical dynamics. While Azerbaijan, under President Ilham Aliyev's leadership, possesses the capability to surmount obstacles, the situation in Armenia presents a more complex scenario.

"At present, Pashinyan holds sway as the geopolitical leader of the region but faces mounting pressure from Western powers seeking to alter the regional landscape," Manafov remarked. "Furthermore, Russia, as a key player, is poised to counter any moves by Pashinyan that tilt the geopolitical balance towards the West. Internally, Pashinyan contends with escalating political and social pressures, necessitating astute navigation of geopolitical currents and adept handling of domestic dissent."

Manafov highlighted the divergent geopolitical interests surrounding corridor projects as additional impediments to a peace agreement's realization. These competing interests, he noted, currently serve as brake mechanisms in the negotiation process.

As Azerbaijan and Armenia navigate the complexities of peace negotiations, Manafov's insights shed light on the multifaceted challenges underlying efforts to forge a lasting agreement in the region.
 
 
  

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