IMF stands by yuan view; says China could need stimulus if trade war worsens

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund on Friday stood by its assessment that the value of China’s yuan was largely in line with economic fundamentals, but an IMF official said the fund was encouraging China to pursue a more flexible exchange rate with less intervention.

Economy 09:50 10.08.2019

James Daniel, director of the IMF’s China department, said that an assessment of China’s economic policies found the yuan exchange rate in 2018 to be “not significantly over-valued or under-valued.”

The IMF’s views on the yuan are at odds with those of its largest shareholder, the United States, which this week declared China a “currency manipulator” after it allowed the yuan to slip below 7 to the dollar to 11-year lows.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is seeking to engage the IMF to help “correct” an unfair trade advantage from Beijing’s currency actions, but Daniel declined to say how the IMF was responding to the request.

“Our discussions with the U.S. Treasury are ongoing on a range of issues,” Daniel told reporters on a conference call, echoing an earlier statement from an IMF spokesperson.

The IMF said in the report that a worsening of trade tensions with the United States could put China’s economic and financial stability at risk, making new fiscal stimulus measures from the government warranted.

The IMF said if the United States were to impose 25% tariffs on a remaining $300 billion list of Chinese imports, this would reduce China’s growth by around 0.8 percentage points over the following 12 months, driven by a sharp fall in demand and a tightening of financial conditions. Negative global spillovers could be significant, it added.

Daniel said that a 10% tariff on this category of goods — as U.S. President Donald Trump intends to impose on Sept. 1 — could result in a 0.3 percentage point cut to growth.

Weighed down by weak demand at home and abroad, China’s growth slowed to 6.2% in the second quarter, a near 30-year low.

More exchange rate flexibility could help China deal with these external pressures, freeing up monetary policy to deal with domestic demand conditions, Daniel said.

He also said the IMF was pressing China for structural reforms to its economy, including opening more sectors to foreign competition and reducing the role of the state in certain industry — goals also broadly sought by the Trump administration.

“We see continued rebalancing and opening up by China and increased exchange rate flexibility as being in China’s own interests and also benefiting the global economy.”

IMF directors in a statement agreed with staff assessments that China’s external position in 2018 was broadly in line with fundamentals.

But they also called for more transparency in China’s exchange rate policies, the IMF said, with some seeking disclosures of China’s foreign exchange market interventions.

Reuters

Top Ukrainian Commander's Stepson Leads Pro-Russian Convoy in Sydney - VIDEO

News line

Azerbaijan weather forecast for May 13
Azerbaijan weather forecast for May 13
18:00 12.05.2024
Catalonia goes to polls in vote that will gauge support for independence
17:20 12.05.2024
Massachusetts man who received first-ever pig kidney transplant dies at 62
Massachusetts man who received first-ever pig kidney transplant dies at 62
16:13 12.05.2024
Fire destroys one of biggest shopping centres in Warsaw
15:49 12.05.2024
Border guards of Russia leave the border regions of Armenia and Azerbaijan
15:20 12.05.2024
Azerbaijani para-taekwondo fighter crowned European champion
Azerbaijani para-taekwondo fighter crowned European champion
14:55 12.05.2024
Top Ukrainian Commander's Stepson Leads Pro-Russian Convoy in Sydney - VIDEO
14:33 12.05.2024
Flash floods kill more than 300 people in northern Afghanistan after heavy rains, UN says
14:01 12.05.2024
Thousands protest against ‘foreign influence’ bill in Georgia
13:06 12.05.2024
Israeli military intensifies bombardment of Jabalia refugee camp
Israeli military intensifies bombardment of Jabalia refugee camp
13:03 12.05.2024
Ethiopian FM, Azerbaijani ambassador discuss COP29
12:20 12.05.2024
Swiss Vice Chancellor Andre Simonazzi dies at 55 while hiking
11:45 12.05.2024
Luka Modric set to depart from Real Madrid at season’s end
Luka Modric set to depart from Real Madrid at season’s end
11:00 12.05.2024
Lithuania voting in presidential election and citizenship referendum
10:23 12.05.2024
Russian Prime Minister to have 10 deputies
Russian Prime Minister to have 10 deputies
10:00 12.05.2024
Azerbaijani Deputy Defense Minister placed on reserve
09:42 12.05.2024
Swiss singer wins Eurovision 2024 contest - VIDEO
09:26 12.05.2024
Ceasefire in Gaza to happen after Hamas releases hostages - Biden
09:01 12.05.2024
Top Ukrainian Commander's Stepson Leads Pro-Russian Convoy in Sydney
01:10 12.05.2024
Shusha hosts 7th “Kharibulbul" International Music Festival
21:00 11.05.2024
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken Honors partner of IEPF Heidi Kühn - PHOTOS
18:00 11.05.2024
President, First Lady participate in opening of Kharibulbul Music Festival in Shusha
16:51 11.05.2024
Spanish Photographer Gervasio Sanchez Concludes Visit to Azerbaijan as Guest of IEPF - PHOTOS
16:00 11.05.2024
Head of UN NGO Branch to Visit Azerbaijan - PHOTOS
14:00 11.05.2024
Mbappé announces PSG exit ahead of likely Real Madrid move
13:23 11.05.2024
Former Armenian MP detained in Russia
Former Armenian MP detained in Russia
12:59 11.05.2024
Actions of disobedience resume in Yerevan and several Armenian regions
12:38 11.05.2024
Price of Azerbaijan oil drops
Price of Azerbaijan oil drops
12:19 11.05.2024
Azerbaijani and Armenian FMs to continue negotiations in Almaty today
11:55 11.05.2024
President Ilham Aliyev receives ICESCO Director General in Shusha
11:42 11.05.2024
Uzbek Representative IEPF Shukhrat Barlas Receives "100th Anniversary of Heydar Aliyev" Jubilee Medal - PHOTOS/VIDEO
11:25 11.05.2024
President: We never wanted war, and we don't want it today either
10:50 11.05.2024
Kharibulbul International Music Festival to kick off in Shusha today
10:35 11.05.2024
President of COP29 visits COMSATS headquarters in Pakistan
10:13 11.05.2024
School bus accident in Antalya, Türkiye: 25 injured as student transport plunges into ravine
09:58 11.05.2024
United Nations General Assembly backs Palestinian bid for membership
09:00 11.05.2024
President Ilham Aliyev congratulates Shusha residents on their returning to native land
President Ilham Aliyev congratulates Shusha residents on their returning to native land
23:00 10.05.2024
President: A new history of Shusha begins today
22:33 10.05.2024
Azerbaijani President: The war could not have ended successfully without Shusha
21:45 10.05.2024
Is a Peace Agreement Between Azerbaijan and Armenia Possible by November?
21:00 10.05.2024
Hamısı