Following Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev's remarks, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has signaled the potential signing of a peace agreement by November. The prospect of such an agreement within this timeframe prompts questions regarding its feasibility.
Political scientist Elshan Manafov provided insights to Ednews, suggesting that the forthcoming meeting between the parties will likely focus on outlining the basic principles of the peace agreement. Manafov noted that Azerbaijan had previously clarified these principles several months ago.
He emphasized that the meeting, set to take place without intermediaries, holds significance as it demonstrates the possibility of cooperation in the 3+3 format for addressing regional security issues. Demilitarization and demarcation are expected to be key topics of discussion.
Manafov highlighted Pashinyan's political challenges, particularly amid growing opposition within Armenia. While Pashinyan has shown political will, his hesitancy between geopolitical forces raises questions about his long-term strategy.
The political scientist suggested that Pashinyan's acceptance of the terms of the initial peace agreement could strengthen his grip on power and pave the way for improved economic and commercial relations with Azerbaijan. However, Pashinyan's reluctance to fulfill certain conditions of the Moscow agreement, particularly regarding the Zangezur corridor and the status of Russian border guards, may pose challenges and attract Kremlin's displeasure.
