Will Russia win or lose? "Local Armenians may lose confidence in Peacekeeprs"

Society 13:11 15.12.2022

Russia's war on several fronts today reveals its relaxing strength and its position towards weakness. In fact, if we look at history, we can experience how Russian Bolshevism took the surrounding countries in its grip. At that time, the countries under its control had neither military potential nor economic power. Today, though the scenario is the same, the situation is completely different.

So let's review the events in Karabakh without going too far.

The situation between the Russian peacekeeping groups that is temporarily monitoring the situation in the Karabakh region under the command of the Russian Ministry of Defence and the representatives of Azerbaijani civil society also indicates the processes inside Russia.

Alman şirkətinə qarşı da ən sərt addımlar atılmalıdır” – Turab Rzayev

In this regard, political analyst Turab Rzayev gave a comparative opinion about the situation in Russia in his comments to Ednews.

"Russia today intends to continue the imperialist war of 100 years ago, and this is its unchanging reactionary policy. But the different point here is that the countries standing before it today are not like they were exhausted from the First World War 100 years ago. Both views and the principle of power have already changed."

Regarding the issue of Russia launching a military front in the south, the expert noted that Russia is currently mostly dependent on the outcome of the processes in Ukraine.

"The results of the war in Ukraine may lead to decisive moments for Russia. For this, Russia needs victory first. However, in the event that Russia loses this war, it is not excluded that it will attack its neighbors in South and Central Asia in order to revenge."

In addition, the political analyst touched on Russia's tendency to wage war on all fronts in today's conditions.

"It is not clear exactly why Russia entered into conflict with the West and its neighbouring countries. However, what is clear is that Russia intends to create global instability with this and has partially succeeded in this. On the other hand, historically, Russia's desire to wage war has been based on certain subjective reasons. For example, Russia created a certain front during and before World War II under the name of fighting against Nazism. Even information about Russia's intention to declare war against Japan began to be published. Today, Russia cannot do this. Because Russia is a witness that it can catch up neither Japanese technology nor the world's most modern weapons."

Referring to the protests in Lachin, Turab Rzayev noted that the peacekeeping forces can be the loser in any case.

"Russia is unable to respond to the demands of our action on the road of Lachin-Khankendi, because it has absolutely nothing to say. There are only two ways: either Russia should allow environmental activists and other civil society representatives and NGOs to go and monitor those mines and other areas on the ground, which Russian peacekeepers are worried about. Because they think it could be lasting. Or otherwise, this issue may result in the closure of the Lachin corridor. Even in this nuance, Russia remains the loser. Because the corridor was not blocked by us, but by peacekeeping groups.

A second point is that if the protesters are allowed into Khankendi, the authority of the Russian peacekeeping forces will be undermined in the eyes of the existing residents there. And this will once again prove that Armenians living in Khankendi and other areas cannot live outside the laws of Azerbaijan."

By Elnur Enveroglu

 

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