IMF predicts slow increase in unemployment but high decrease in infilation in Pakistan

Economy 10:56 16.10.2019

World Economic Outlook report 2019 was issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in which the rise in the unemployment rate in Pakistan was forecasted. The report indicated that the unemployment rate in Pakistan will rise up from 6.1% currently to 6.2% in 2019.

Furthermore, as per the IMF, the economic growth pace is likely to reach 5% by 2024.  Inflation will decrease from 13% to 5%.

The report also stated that the present account deficit is expected to drop down further. It is expected to decrease by up to 1.8% by 2024.

IMF estimated that Pakistan’s economy will slow down to 2.4% in 2020 and then pick pace. IMF’s economist Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrtti was speaking at a news conference at the World Economic Outlook 2019 in which he said that Pak authorities have remained steadfast on fiscal adjustment and thus the country is picking up stability.

IMF Economic Counsellor and Director of Research Department Gita Gopinath said, “We estimate that the US-China trade tensions will cumulatively reduce the level of global GDP by 0.8pc by 2020. Growth is also being weighed down by country-specific factors in several emerging market economies, and by structural forces, such as low productivity growth and aging demographics in advanced economies.”

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