Armenian political analyst slams authorities' 'poor logic' amid Azerbaijan preparing real war

Analytics 10:43 24.12.2019

Amid the current processes over Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijan is preparing for a real war as opposed to Armenia, a political analyst said today, ciriticizing the authorities for a poor understanding of the real hazards, Eurasia Diary reports citing Tert.am.

Addressing the participants of the public forum at the analytical center Voskanapat, Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan called for an increasing attention to the society, which he said has nօt developed adequate perceptions "either psychologically or in the information domain".

“Our authorities give assurances all the time that the processes in Armenia have raised our country to such a level of democracy that practically rules out any attack in the modern world. And this is actually what they consider a security guarantee. Instead of the army or economic development, [they focus on] the perception of Armenia’s ‘democratic image’ as a tool that would heavily lock off any country’s attempt to seek a military solution,” he said, considerig the authorities’ hypethesis too weak to inspire a real belief in other persons apart from their own selves.

Noting that Azerbaijan has been ramping up its military potential in the past years (conducting also large-scale military trainings), the analyst said he now thinks that the neighboring country’s leadership sought benefits in the new Armenian authorities’ “poor understanding” of the logic behind the negotiations.

Commenting on the domestic political situation in Azerbaijan, the expert pointed out to serious re-arrangements, highlighting particularly the conduct of parliamentary elections in early 2020.

“Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev is amid preparations to have a replacement in case of a possible failure. He couldn’t, logically, rely on anyone else outside is family, so his wife, Mehriban Aliyeva, is the [likely] candidate to replace her husband in case of a success,” he noted.

Asked why then the long plotted war hasn’t eventually broken out, Melik Shahnazaryan pointed out to differences in the positions and expectations. In his words, those who hoped to enter into certain deals with the prime minister of Armenia, know well in advance that they cannot possibly reach the same arrangements with the people.

Hikmat Hajiyev: "Azerbaijan is a natural link connecting Central Asia and Europe" - VIDEO

News line

Azerbaijan discusses managing emissions with Saudi Green and Middle East Green
Azerbaijan discusses managing emissions with Saudi Green and Middle East Green
20:00 29.03.2024
US Navy preps hypersonic weapon test this spring
19:18 29.03.2024
Greece's GDP shows highest growth among EU countries
Greece's GDP shows highest growth among EU countries
19:00 29.03.2024
Hezbollah fires at Israel with Iranian-made missiles
Hezbollah fires at Israel with Iranian-made missiles
18:19 29.03.2024
Azerbaijan's Dushbara is on list of tastiest dumplings worldwide
18:00 29.03.2024
EU-Armenia-US joint conference may encourage Armenia to new provocations - Azerbaijan's FM
17:47 29.03.2024
Melting Polar Ice Caps Slow Earth's Rotation, Delaying "Leap Second" Addition
Melting Polar Ice Caps Slow Earth's Rotation, Delaying "Leap Second" Addition
17:29 29.03.2024
EU Delegation to Armenia Signals Push for Stability in South Caucasus - Insights from Arnold Stepanyan
17:14 29.03.2024
Russian MFA calls 102nd Military Base only guarantee of Armenia's sovereignty
17:01 29.03.2024
"The Ukrainian army is addicted to gambling" - says Ukrainian MP
"The Ukrainian army is addicted to gambling" - says Ukrainian MP
16:50 29.03.2024
Why are the US and the EU arming Armenia? - Pundit talks on Ednews
16:39 29.03.2024
Erdogan to visit US on May 9
Erdogan to visit US on May 9
16:26 29.03.2024
Hulusi Akar, US congressmen mull Azerbaijan-Armenia peace process
15:52 29.03.2024
Russian ambassador sees no reasons to expect Russian-US ties to improve
15:36 29.03.2024
British army lifts ban on serving soldiers having beards
British army lifts ban on serving soldiers having beards
15:29 29.03.2024
Hikmat Hajiyev: "Azerbaijan is a natural link connecting Central Asia and Europe" - VIDEO
15:13 29.03.2024
Azerbaijan weather forecast for March 30
Azerbaijan weather forecast for March 30
15:00 29.03.2024
Tajikistan detains 9 people over Russian concert shooting
Tajikistan detains 9 people over Russian concert shooting
14:46 29.03.2024
Washington Is Forming A New Alliance - OPINION
14:32 29.03.2024
Individuals identified as drug users will not be admitted for service in Azerbaijani tax authorities
14:14 29.03.2024
Philippines' Catholic devotees nailed to crosses to re-enact crucifixion
Philippines' Catholic devotees nailed to crosses to re-enact crucifixion
14:00 29.03.2024
Umud Mirzayev: EU's South Caucasus Visit Aims to Maintain Regional Influence
13:45 29.03.2024
Public Television of Armenia Reveals Villages to be Returned to Azerbaijan
13:39 29.03.2024
Death toll of Israeli strike in Syria rises to 42, war monitor says - UPDATED
13:25 29.03.2024
Azerbaijan toughens penalties for non-compliance with rules of state of emergency regime
Azerbaijan toughens penalties for non-compliance with rules of state of emergency regime
13:12 29.03.2024
How will the EU's visit to the South Caucasus affect the peace process? - Former ambassador talks to Ednews
13:00 29.03.2024
Azerbaijan tightens sanctions for breaching special operation zone rules on religious extremism
12:45 29.03.2024
Azerbaijan toughens penalties for non-compliance with rules of social emergency environment regime
12:33 29.03.2024
About $7 bln of foreign direct investment was invested in Azerbaijan last year
12:00 29.03.2024
Number of people injured in Crocus City Hall terrorist attack reaches 382
11:48 29.03.2024
Media: Netanyahu rejected the Mossad Chief's proposal for a possible agreement in Gaza
11:37 29.03.2024
Azerbaijani Parliament's meeting kicks off
11:26 29.03.2024
An American couple founded a website, which identifies brands that support Israel
An American couple founded a website, which identifies brands that support Israel
11:07 29.03.2024
US scientists name infection more dangerous for brain than coronavirus
US scientists name infection more dangerous for brain than coronavirus
11:00 29.03.2024
Parviz Shahbazov: Foundations of 4 new renewable energy plants will be laid this year
Parviz Shahbazov: Foundations of 4 new renewable energy plants will be laid this year
10:50 29.03.2024
Japan eyes self-driving expressway lane network
10:40 29.03.2024
Oil prices end 1Q24 with strong growth
10:30 29.03.2024
SECRETS of the European Union's visit to the South Caucasus - Fikret Sadigov EXPLAINS
10:25 29.03.2024
Ammunition found in Khankandi
Ammunition found in Khankandi
10:10 29.03.2024
Iran’s top diplomat: Military presence of third countries in Caspian Sea goes against interests of region
Iran’s top diplomat: Military presence of third countries in Caspian Sea goes against interests of region
10:00 29.03.2024
Hamısı