'If the revolt responds to foreign interests no change will happen, only reshuffle of players' Political analyst explains the Sudanese revolution

Analytics 11:52 17.04.2019

After three decades in power, Sudanese leader Omar al-Bashir was ousted by mass protests. The transitional period of up to two years followed by elections was announced by the military, but people want a quick handover of power to civilians. 

Jose Chalhoup, a political expert analyzed the situation for Eurasia Diary.

"What happened in Sudan is interesting with the ousting of Omar Bashir but still there are many things to observe since the military will want to remain as a relevant player especially due to the heavy presence and deals with Russia and China and the longstanding autocratic history of the country, meanwhile there is not a visible opposition leadership to capitalise this ousting of Omar Bashir so far," Chalhoup said.

Read also: The Sudanese revolution may be just a part of a grand chess game for the regional supremacy - Bruno Surdel explains the revolution

The need for revolution emerges from the desire to change and revamp an old political system, the political analyst thinks. "Historically, the revolutions have happened either with the help of the armed forces or without it."

Chalhoub also explains the chain of revolutions in North Africa in terms of "Africa Spring": "It is interesting that these political revolts have been happening recently in Algeria, Sudan, also some isolated although continuing protests in Morocco and lets wait if in Egypt also al Sisi might face a revolt of the sort. But if these revolts respond only to foreign interests like those of Russia, France, Italy, China, the U.S. and U.K then at the end of the day no change will happen but only a reshuffling of players and actors."

Read also: 'Sudanese people liberated themselves, they deserve freedom' - Hugh Miles

The interference of foreign powers is not excluded. The political analyst thinks that new players enter the African chessboard: "Traditional players like the U.S., France and U.K along with Italy have been having heavy interests in the North African region and also in Africa in general, but now Russia, China, India and even Turkey can be counted as the newly arrived players and brokers in the continent rich in oil, minerals and metals, which could at the end destroy the long quest for democracy and development of Africa which has been achieving so far in many ways"

 

Jose Chalhoub is a Venezuelan political risks and oil consultant in Venezuela with focus on Russia, South america and the Middle East geopolitics.

 

Ulvi Ahmedli

IEPF issued a statement regarding Azerbaijani children at the UN Human Rights Council

News line

Palestinian man shot dead after stabbing Israeli soldier during West Bank raid
21:20 10.07.2025
Israel has agreed to 'significant steps' to improve humanitarian situation in Gaza: EU foreign policy chief
21:00 10.07.2025
EU aims to mobilize up to $11.7B in investments for Ukraine's reconstruction
20:45 10.07.2025
UNAIDS warns funding collapse could lead to 6M new HIV infections, 4M deaths
20:30 10.07.2025
UN report sounds alarm on climate health risks for world's aging population
20:00 10.07.2025
Merz: Germany fully supports Ukraine's plans to join EU
19:45 10.07.2025
Azerbaijani citizens involved in Wagner armed group arrested - State Security Service conducts operation
19:15 10.07.2025
Luka Modric signs one-year contract with Milan
19:00 10.07.2025
Rubio: US hopes to persuade NATO allies to transfer some Patriot systems to Ukraine
18:45 10.07.2025
Zelenskyy: 200 agreements with total value of over €10B ready to be signed
18:30 10.07.2025
Von der Leyen's EU Commission survives Parliament confidence vote
18:15 10.07.2025
SOCAR becomes jersey sponsor of Turkish First League side
18:00 10.07.2025
Azerbaijan takes leading postion in UN digital trade survey
17:45 10.07.2025
Ex-NBA player Ben McLemore sentenced to over 8 years in prison for rape
17:30 10.07.2025
Russia warns Armenia of sanctions risk
17:15 10.07.2025
COP29 President, COP30 President-designate hold discussions at OPEC seminar
17:00 10.07.2025
Ilham Aliyev's meeting with Nikol Pashinyan was constructive
16:55 10.07.2025
Baku says Azerbaijan, Armenia agreed to continue dialogue in bilateral format
16:45 10.07.2025
Peskov: Baku-Yerevan peace treaty will bring stability to South Caucasus
16:30 10.07.2025
Azerbaijan refunds over 94M manats of VAT to consumers
16:15 10.07.2025
Amnesty International slams US sanctions on UN Rapporteur Francesca Albanese
16:00 10.07.2025
China pushes back 50% US 'security' tariffs on copper imports
15:45 10.07.2025
Top Southeast Asian diplomats hold summit with China’s foreign minister
15:30 10.07.2025
Israeli strikes on Gaza leave 97 Palestinians killed, dozens more injured in past day
15:15 10.07.2025
Messi creates history in MLS, becomes first player to achieve rare feat
15:00 10.07.2025
Heavy rain delays over 300 flights in New Delhi
14:45 10.07.2025
Shamakhi to host conference on Modern Information Space and Freedom of Religious Belief
14:30 10.07.2025
At least 28 killed, dozens injured in pre-dawn Israeli strikes across Gaza Strip
14:15 10.07.2025
Court orders arrest of former South Korean president
14:00 10.07.2025
US nuclear-powered submarine makes first port call in Iceland
13:45 10.07.2025
Israeli soldier killed during attempted Hamas abduction in southern Gaza, IDF says
13:30 10.07.2025
ADY and China Railways reach agreement to increase BTK capacity
13:15 10.07.2025
U.S. measles cases hit highest level in 33 years,
13:00 10.07.2025
Azerbaijan, Saudi Arabia discuss co-op in hydrocarbon sector
12:45 10.07.2025
UK, France to order more Storm Shadow missiles, plan next-generation replacements
12:30 10.07.2025
Houthis kidnapped crew members of Eternity C vessel, US Embassy in Yemen says
12:15 10.07.2025
President Ilham Aliyev addresses participants of ICDO General Assembly session
12:00 10.07.2025
US to impose 50% tariffs on imports from Brazil starting August — Trump
11:45 10.07.2025
US resumes certain arms shipments to Ukraine
11:30 10.07.2025
SOCAR president participates in OPEC International Seminar
11:15 10.07.2025
Hamısı