'If the revolt responds to foreign interests no change will happen, only reshuffle of players' - Political analyst explains the Sudanese revolution | Eurasia Diary - ednews.net

16 June,


'If the revolt responds to foreign interests no change will happen, only reshuffle of players' - Political analyst explains the Sudanese revolution

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After three decades in power, Sudanese leader Omar al-Bashir was ousted by mass protests. The transitional period of up to two years followed by elections was announced by the military, but people want a quick handover of power to civilians. 

Jose Chalhoup, a political expert analyzed the situation for Eurasia Diary.

"What happened in Sudan is interesting with the ousting of Omar Bashir but still there are many things to observe since the military will want to remain as a relevant player especially due to the heavy presence and deals with Russia and China and the longstanding autocratic history of the country, meanwhile there is not a visible opposition leadership to capitalise this ousting of Omar Bashir so far," Chalhoup said.

Read also: The Sudanese revolution may be just a part of a grand chess game for the regional supremacy - Bruno Surdel explains the revolution

The need for revolution emerges from the desire to change and revamp an old political system, the political analyst thinks. "Historically, the revolutions have happened either with the help of the armed forces or without it."

Chalhoub also explains the chain of revolutions in North Africa in terms of "Africa Spring": "It is interesting that these political revolts have been happening recently in Algeria, Sudan, also some isolated although continuing protests in Morocco and lets wait if in Egypt also al Sisi might face a revolt of the sort. But if these revolts respond only to foreign interests like those of Russia, France, Italy, China, the U.S. and U.K then at the end of the day no change will happen but only a reshuffling of players and actors."

Read also: 'Sudanese people liberated themselves, they deserve freedom' - Hugh Miles

The interference of foreign powers is not excluded. The political analyst thinks that new players enter the African chessboard: "Traditional players like the U.S., France and U.K along with Italy have been having heavy interests in the North African region and also in Africa in general, but now Russia, China, India and even Turkey can be counted as the newly arrived players and brokers in the continent rich in oil, minerals and metals, which could at the end destroy the long quest for democracy and development of Africa which has been achieving so far in many ways"

 

Jose Chalhoub is a Venezuelan political risks and oil consultant in Venezuela with focus on Russia, South america and the Middle East geopolitics.

 

Ulvi Ahmedli

Eurasia Diary

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