Does a new period of constitutional monarchy start for Russia?

Analytics 23:27 17.03.2020

Since the centuries nothing has much changed. When reading in the history book about kings of the lands it arose a strong feeling of aversion inside many of us - always asked why the lands are ruled by a single person in the order of hierarchy..?   

Finally, it lead us to modern century of creating republics, democratic states under rules of constitution and authority of not one eternal ruler, but the publicly chosen leader who has capacity and knowledge of managing problems of a state. Alas, it could not  fulfill more of what  the public were promised and unfortunately, it simply played a role of reflecting the silhouette of a democratic state. 

Despite very few media outlets spoke of rallies near the Kremlin where dozens of people were detained because of mainly protesting President Putin's plan of kingdom for 16 more years, it demonstrated how Russian people reacted to the oppression of their ruling government.

Besides that, some pro-government Russian TV channels were spurned by protesters addressing them foal words because of hiding truth from the public. This is the whole inside story of the past week in the capital of Russia. 

As regards the reforms in Russia, many politicians called it Putin's overt plan of bringing monarchy in Russia, which now in fact is a beginning of constitutional monarchy in the country.

Obviously, it is not difficult to discern the structural and substantive similarities between present-day Russia under Vladimir Putin and the reign of Nicholas I. However, there are two notions- one that feel it is hard to explain, the others feel that there is nothing really to explain, and it is something that occurs in instances when history seems to repeat itself.

We can say the world is full of chances but this time it seem to be more like a historical continuity, such parallels cannot be so easily dismissed. The common elements in question here are not merely superficial resemblances between disparate eras: they are deeply rooted long standing structural elements that have appeared and reappeared over hundreds of years.

Generally, if looked over the current processes through a wide angle, it's more like a Tsar regime, where people play less significant role to choose their leader, and as a result they are broken by police after understanding that they were bewildered with the dreams of democracy - so, welcome your king.

Today, a wide focus of the West is on the last week's rallies of demonstrators in Moscow outside the headquarters of the FSB, the state security service that Mr Putin, 67, used to lead. The protest came as Putin signed off on constitutional reforms that “resume history” on how long he can stay in the Kremlin. It also made it clear that President Putin is very decisive to protect his post until he is 83.

It's quite interesting and intrigues a question in minds what is that attracting the ruler of the former Soviet State to grip on his throne.   

So for more clues about Russia's current political situation, let's review the period of Putin's presidency who is in his fourth presidential term.  

In one of her essays, the Russian historian and political analyst Irina Pavlova has described the 23-yer-old plan of Putin as such:

Vladimir Putin’s arrangement to be president for life and his increasingly authoritarianism reflect his longstanding plans for dictatorial rule, plans that were openly acknowledged by his United Russia ideologists as early as 2007. They are not something new as some in Moscow and the West appear to believe.

According to her, even Abdul-Khakim Sultygov, the formerly Russian President's Special Representative for Human Rights in Chechnya on November 6, 2007, had laid out a programme for ensuring that Russia would not have been any “sovereign” or “administered” democracy but a dictatorship and that Putin would have been the one to head it.

She pointed this out in an essay published at that time, an essay which said that the injection of democratic values into Russia at the end of the 1980s and beginning of the 1990s “has turned out to be too weak to provide immunity” against the rise of a new dictatorship.

Supporting the Russian historian's words, the former official of the US Department of State and the political analyst Paul Globe also added that the vote in the Duma opening the way for Putin to remain in office for the rest of his life is just the final act of this unfortunate drama.

"Not surprisingly, she adds, as Putin has moved toward dictatorship, he and his regime have successfully shifted Russian public opinion on his role model, Joseph Stalin. And now 70 percent of Russians approve of the Soviet dictator," the expert stressed.  

According to other experts, President Putin may have less than 27 per cent voters after 2024 elections. So, Putin's prospect of remaining president does not carry any significance in Russia after his adoption of changes in the constitution. However this figure may not remain as fixed while Putin's plans become more real for Russians. Considering the anxieties that already displayed symptoms with rallies in Moscow, Russian authorities said to have a strong shield to defend themselves from the rising outrage of mass opposition. For the time being, it is certainly, the COVID-19 outbreak that are best for use of keeping protesters' mouths shut - like the one they did last week.

So, what politicians conclude their analysis, given the current political situation in Russia, it still seems quite uncertain, despite a little of drama in Moscow streets. It means hopes for serious political change any time soon may be very little or not at all.  

 

by Elnur Enveroglu
IEPF issued a statement regarding Azerbaijani children at the UN Human Rights Council

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